2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ ARI – Week 7 2024
LAC
ARI
LAC
AWAY
15@17
ARI +2
FINAL · WEEK 7
2024 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: ARI
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ARI 60%Projected margin: 0.4
ARI
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
0.4
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ARI C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected ARI by 0.4. Actual: 2 points. The model was within 1.6 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 12 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | ARI market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +102 | Won · +$1.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)
ARI
divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
285.4SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
240.9SEASON PPR
J.Dobbins
RB
191.8SEASON PPR
ARI
K.Murray
QB
297.2SEASON PPR
J.Conner
RB
253.8SEASON PPR
T.McBride
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@ARIW12 2022 | LAC 25, ARI 24 | LAC | W |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES