ARI @ LAC – Week 1 2026
ARI
LAC
ARI
AWAY
@
SUN 4:25 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
LAC
HOME
OUR PICK
TIER A+
PICK: LAC
Model confidence: LAC 75%Projected margin: -8.3
LAC
PICK SIDE
-10.5
SPREAD
-8.3
PROJ MARGIN
-453
MODEL ML
-550
LIVE ML
GAME NARRATIVE
A+-tier pick on LAC at 75% confidence.
HIGH CONVICTION
LAC is one of the model's highest-conviction calls. Its strongest calls hit at a significantly higher rate.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 8.3-point margin. Games projected by 7+ points have a strong cover rate historically.
Net-positive signal profile for LAC. Grade: A+.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.5 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -453 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -550 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
81.9%
MARKET IMPLIED
84.6%
MODEL EDGE
-2.7%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAC@ARIW7 2024 | LAC 15, ARI 17 | ARI | W |
| LAC@ARIW12 2022 | LAC 25, ARI 24 | LAC | W |
