ATL @ PIT – Week 1 2026
ATL
PIT
ATL
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
PIT
HOME
OUR PICK
TIER B
PICK: PIT
Model confidence: PIT 60%Projected margin: -1.6
PIT
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
-165
LIVE ML
WHY THIS PICK
PIT is our B-tier play in ATL @ PIT (Week 1, 2026). The model assigns 60.2% confidence and projects PIT by 1.6. Market spread sits at PIT -3.0.
MODEL CONVICTION
High — the model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -165 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
60.6%
MARKET IMPLIED
62.3%
MODEL EDGE
-1.6%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@ATLW1 2024 | PIT 18, ATL 10 | PIT | W |
| PIT@ATLW13 2022 | PIT 19, ATL 16 | PIT | W |
