NYJ @ TEN – Week 1 2026
NYJ
TEN
NYJ
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
TEN
HOME
OUR PICK
TIER C
PICK: TEN
Model confidence: TEN 60%Projected margin: -1.5
TEN
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
-1.5
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
-130
LIVE ML
WHY THIS PICK
TEN is our C-tier play in NYJ @ TEN (Week 1, 2026). The model assigns 60.4% confidence and projects TEN by 1.5. Market spread sits at TEN -1.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
Split — the model leans this way with less conviction.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | TEN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -130 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
55.4%
MARKET IMPLIED
56.5%
MODEL EDGE
-1.2%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@TENW2 2024 | NYJ 24, TEN 17 | NYJ | W |
| TEN@NYJW4 2021 | TEN 24, NYJ 27 | TEN | L |
