NO @ DET – Week 1 2026
NO
DET
NO
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 1 · 2026 SEASON
DET
HOME
OUR PICK
TIER B
PICK: DET
Model confidence: DET 64%Projected margin: -3.1
DET
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
-3.1
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
-305
LIVE ML
WHY THIS PICK
DET is our B-tier play in NO @ DET (Week 1, 2026). The model assigns 64.0% confidence and projects DET by 3.1. Market spread sits at DET -7.0.
MODEL CONVICTION
High — the model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | -305 | Last observed market ML |
MODEL IMPLIED
73.3%
MARKET IMPLIED
75.3%
MODEL EDGE
-2.0%
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@NOW13 2023 | DET 33, NO 28 | DET | W |
| NO@DETW4 2020 | NO 35, DET 29 | NO | W |
