2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NO @ DET – Week 4 2020
NO
DET
NO
AWAY
35@29
NO +6
FINAL · WEEK 4
2020 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: NO
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NO 65%Projected margin: -9.1
NO
PICK SIDE
-3.0
SPREAD
-9.1
PROJ MARGIN
-154
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NO A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NO. Projected margin: 9.1. Actual: 6. Off by 3.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.0 | NO market line | |
| MODEL ML | -154 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -155 | Won · +$0.65 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NO
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
DET
Home Underdog 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
NO
Alvin Kamara
RB
377.8SEASON PPR
Drew Brees
QB
209.5SEASON PPR
Emmanuel Sanders
WR
164.8SEASON PPR
DET
Matthew Stafford
QB
260.6SEASON PPR
Marvin Jones
WR
227.8SEASON PPR
D'Andre Swift
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@NOW13 2023 | DET 33, NO 28 | DET | W |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES