NoPunt went 11-4 straight up in Week 4 2020.
The most confident pick, the Baltimore Ravens at 73%, won 31-17.
Our most confident Week 4 pick is the Baltimore Ravens over the Washington Commanders, at 73% win probability.
5 of 15 games on the Week 4 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the San Francisco 49ers at 62% win probability lost 20-25.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-3 (63%) against a 66% all-time rate.
Movers start next week. This is the first Wednesday regeneration this week has on record.
The games the model flags as bets, with Kelly reference sizing. The full analytical read for every game is already free.
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