2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ GB – Week 4 2020
ATL
GB
ATL
AWAY
16@30
GB +14
FINAL · WEEK 4
2020 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 67%Projected margin: 8.1
GB
PICK SIDE
-5.0
SPREAD
8.1
PROJ MARGIN
-205
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 8.1. Actual: 14. Off by 5.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 9.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -205 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -221 | Won · +$0.49 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Cold Weather 3-2 ATS (60%)Road Favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
53°F
WIND
9 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
ATL
Matt Ryan
QB
282.4SEASON PPR
Calvin Ridley
WR
281.5SEASON PPR
Russell Gage
WR
181.1SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Rodgers
QB
383.3SEASON PPR
Davante Adams
WR
358.4SEASON PPR
Aaron Jones
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@ATLW2 2023 | GB 24, ATL 25 | GB | L |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES