2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SEA @ MIA – Week 4 2020
SEA
MIA
SEA
AWAY
31@23
SEA +8
FINAL · WEEK 4
2020 SEASON
MIA
HOME
TIER B
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 60%Projected margin: -4.1
SEA
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
-4.1
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 4.1. Actual: 8. Off by 3.9 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 3.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -223 | Won · +$0.52 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SEA
Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
MIA
Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
86°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2020 SEASON
SEA
Russell Wilson
QB
359.8SEASON PPR
DK Metcalf
WR
271.3SEASON PPR
Tyler Lockett
WR
265.4SEASON PPR
MIA
DeVante Parker
WR
166.3SEASON PPR
Myles Gaskin
RB
164.2SEASON PPR
Mike Gesicki
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 4
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA@SEAW3 2024 | MIA 3, SEA 24 | SEA | W |
WEEK 4 · OTHER GAMES