2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIA @ SEA – Week 3 2024
MIA
SEA
MIA
AWAY
3@24
SEA +21
FINAL · WEEK 3
2024 SEASON
SEA
HOME
TIER C
PICK: SEA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: SEA 59%Projected margin: 0.9
SEA
PICK SIDE
-4.0
SPREAD
0.9
PROJ MARGIN
-178
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
SEA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked SEA. Projected margin: 0.9. Actual: 21. Off by 20.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 17.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.0 | SEA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -178 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -205 | Won · +$0.56 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIA
No noteworthy trends
SEA
home_underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
64°F
WIND
2 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
MIA
D.Achane
RB
299.9SEASON PPR
J.Smith
TE
222.3SEASON PPR
T.Hill
WR
218.2SEASON PPR
SEA
G.Smith
QB
266.0SEASON PPR
J.Smith-Njigba
WR
253.0SEASON PPR
D.Metcalf
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEA@MIAW4 2020 | SEA 31, MIA 23 | SEA | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES