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JAX @ BUF · Week 3 2024 · NoPunt
2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
JAX @ BUF – Week 3 2024
JAX
BUF
JAX
AWAY
10
@
47
BUF +37
FINAL · WEEK 3
2024 SEASON
BUF
HOME
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TEAM COMPARISON
JAX
METRIC
BUF
-0.149
NET EPA/PLAY
+0.181
-0.020
OFF EPA/PLAY
+0.190
+0.129
DEF EPA/PLAY
+0.009
320
POINTS FOR
612
435
POINTS AGAINST
432
58.9%
PASS RATE
51.8%
82.6%
RED ZONE TD%
95.5%
21.9%
4TH DOWN GO%
24.6%
JAXANALYTICS →
BUFANALYTICS →
BETTING LINE
FIELD
VALUE
NOTES
SPREAD
+4.0
Market line
LIVE ML
—
Last observed market ML
GAME TOTAL
PREDICTED TOTAL
46.8
ALL GAME TOTALS →
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
JAX
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
home_underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
BUF
road_favorite 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
68°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
BUF
JAX
KICKOFF
KEY PLAYERS
JAX
B.Thomas
WR
284.0
PPR
T.Lawrence
QB
145.7
PPR
T.Etienne
RB
130.2
PPR
BUF
J.Allen
QB
372.3
PPR
J.Cook
RB
266.7
PPR
K.Shakir
WR
182.5
PPR
INJURY REPORT
WEEK 3
JAX
4 LISTED
Evan Engram
TE · Hamstring
OUT
Darnell Savage
S · Quadricep
QUESTIONABLE
Tim Jones
WR · Foot
QUESTIONABLE
Tank Bigsby
RB · Shoulder
QUESTIONABLE
BUF
2 LISTED
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
LAST 2 MEETINGS
GAME
SCORE
JAX
@
BUF
W5 2023
JAX 25, BUF 20
BUF
@
JAX
W9 2021
BUF 6, JAX 9
FULL COMPARISON →
JAX ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
BUF ANALYTICS
EPA, coaching, picks
VS
COMPARE
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES
CAR
@
LV
36-22
DEN
@
TB
26-7
WAS
@
CIN
38-33
PHI
@
NO
15-12
NYG
@
CLE
21-15
NE
@
NYJ
3-24
LAC
@
PIT
10-20
← WEEK 3 PICKS
FULL RESULTS LEDGER →
BUF 100%
HOME TEAM WIN PROBABILITY OVER GAME TIME · SOURCE: NFLFASTR
JAX ROSTER →
BUF ROSTER →
Taron Johnson
CB · Forearm
OUT
Terrel Bernard
LB · Pectoral
OUT
CHI
@
IND
16-21
BAL
@
DAL
28-25
SF
@
LA
24-27
KC
@
ATL
22-17
DET
@
ARI
20-13
GB
@
TEN
30-14
MIA
@
SEA
3-24
HOU
@
MIN
7-34
NEXT GEN STATS
EXP COMP %
69.1%
Josh Allen
BUF
TIME TO THROW
2.73s
Josh Allen
BUF
SEPARATION
4.8 yds
Khalil Shakir
BUF
RUSH EFFICIENCY
2.4
Travis Etienne
JAX
AGGRESSIVENESS
7.9%
Trevor Lawrence
JAX
AVG YAC
13.0 yds
Khalil Shakir
BUF
GREEN
= ELITE VS LEAGUE
SOURCE: NFL NEXT GEN STATS
JAX SCHEME RATES
17 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
24.3%
BLITZ RATE
24.4%
MOTION
27.6%
RPO
3.1%
SCREEN
10.2%
NO HUDDLE
10.6%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
BUF SCHEME RATES
20 GAMES
PLAY ACTION
22.4%
BLITZ RATE
28.2%
MOTION
41.8%
RPO
4.7%
SCREEN
12.6%
NO HUDDLE
6.2%
AVG PASS RUSHERS
4.3
SOURCE: FTN CHARTING · 2024 SEASON
JAX ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
17.0%
DROP %
4.1%
PRESSURE %
15.3%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.6
YAC/ATT
1.9
BROKEN TACKLES
19
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.0%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
89.7
MISSED TACKLE %
11.8%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON
BUF ADVANCED STATS
PASSING
BAD THROW %
16.3%
DROP %
3.6%
PRESSURE %
13.6%
RUSHING
YBC/ATT
2.2
YAC/ATT
1.8
BROKEN TACKLES
39
DEFENSE
COMP% ALLOWED
69.7%
PASSER RTG ALLOWED
88.1
MISSED TACKLE %
9.5%
SOURCE: PRO FOOTBALL REFERENCE · 2024 SEASON