2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ NYJ – Week 3 2024
NE
NYJ
NE
AWAY
3@24
NYJ +21
FINAL · WEEK 3
2024 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NYJ
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NYJ 63%Projected margin: 2.5
NYJ
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
2.5
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NYJ B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NYJ. Projected margin: 2.5. Actual: 21. Off by 18.5 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | NYJ market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -285 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
No noteworthy trends
NYJ
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
75°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
NE
D.Maye
QB
177.1SEASON PPR
R.Stevenson
RB
175.9SEASON PPR
D.Douglas
WR
147.7SEASON PPR
NYJ
A.Rodgers
QB
256.6SEASON PPR
G.Wilson
WR
251.9SEASON PPR
B.Hall
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@NYJW17 2025 | NE 42, NYJ 10 | NE | W |
| NYJ@NEW11 2025 | NYJ 14, NE 27 | NE | W |
| NYJ@NEW8 2024 | NYJ 22, NE 25 | NYJ | L |
| NYJ@NEW18 2023 | NYJ 17, NE 3 | NE | L |
| NE@NYJW3 2023 | NE 15, NYJ 10 | NE | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES