NYJ @ NE – Week 18 2023

NE B-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.

Model picked NE but NYJ won. Projected margin was 2.8 -- the model overestimated by 16.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 16.5 points.

33°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.