2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ WAS – Week 18 2023
DAL
WAS
DAL
AWAY
38@10
DAL +28
FINAL · WEEK 18
2023 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 75%Projected margin: -7.2
DAL
PICK SIDE
-13.0
SPREAD
-7.2
PROJ MARGIN
-649
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 7.2. Actual: 28. Off by 20.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 15.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -13.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -649 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -850 | Won · +$0.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 4-1 ATS (80%)
WAS
Divisional 1-4 ATS (20%)Home Underdog 0-4 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
403.2SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
342.8SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
222.6SEASON PPR
WAS
Sam Howell
QB
257.5SEASON PPR
Terry McLaurin
WR
203.2SEASON PPR
Brian Robinson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@WASW17 2025 | DAL 30, WAS 23 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW7 2025 | WAS 22, DAL 44 | DAL | W |
| WAS@DALW18 2024 | WAS 23, DAL 19 | DAL | L |
| DAL@WASW12 2024 | DAL 34, WAS 26 | WAS | L |
| WAS@DALW12 2023 | WAS 10, DAL 45 | DAL | W |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES