2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
MIN @ DET – Week 18 2023
MIN
DET
MIN
AWAY
20@30
DET +10
FINAL · WEEK 18
2023 SEASON
DET
HOME
TIER A
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 75%Projected margin: 6.8
DET
PICK SIDE
-3.5
SPREAD
6.8
PROJ MARGIN
-165
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 6.8. Actual: 10. Off by 3.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 6.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -3.5 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -165 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -205 | Won · +$0.61 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIN
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
DET
Road Favorite 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
MIN
Jordan Addison
WR
221.3SEASON PPR
T.J. Hockenson
TE
219.0SEASON PPR
Justin Jefferson
WR
202.2SEASON PPR
DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
330.9SEASON PPR
Jared Goff
QB
289.1SEASON PPR
Jahmyr Gibbs
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@MINW17 2025 | DET 10, MIN 23 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW9 2025 | MIN 27, DET 24 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW18 2024 | MIN 9, DET 31 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW7 2024 | DET 31, MIN 29 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW16 2023 | DET 30, MIN 24 | DET | W |
WEEK 18 · OTHER GAMES