MIN @ DET – Week 8 2026
MIN
DET
MIN
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
DET
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: DET 62%Projected margin: -1.6
DET
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.016Net EPA / play+0.091
-0.116Offense EPA / play+0.081
-0.100Defense EPA / play-0.010
42.6%Offense success %45.2%
41.0%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: DET at 62%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
DET generates 0.081 EPA/play on offense. MIN's defense allows -0.100. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
DET goes for it on 4th down 27% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
H2H EDGE
DET has won 3 of the last 5 meetings against MIN.
RED ZONE
DET converts 92% in the red zone vs 71% for MIN. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
DET scores 2.2 points per drive vs 1.3 for MIN. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in DET's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | DET market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
MIN
J.Jefferson
WR
201.5SEASON PPR
J.Addison
WR
135.1SEASON PPR
J.Mason
RB
128.9SEASON PPR
DET
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Minnesota VikingsPASSING
J.McCarthy1632 yd · 11 TD · 12 INT
RUSHING
J.Mason758 yd · 6 TD
A.Jones548 yd · 2 TD
J.McCarthy181 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
J.Jefferson84 rec · 1048 yd · 2 TD
J.Addison42 rec · 610 yd · 3 TD
J.Nailor29 rec · 444 yd · 4 TD
T.Hockenson51 rec · 438 yd · 3 TD
VS
1,632PASSyds4,564
1,487RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@MINW15 2026 | — | MIN | — |
| DET@MINW17 2025 | DET 10, MIN 23 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW9 2025 | MIN 27, DET 24 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW18 2024 | MIN 9, DET 31 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW7 2024 | DET 31, MIN 29 | DET | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs DET
Who is favored in Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions?
Our model takes Detroit Lions at 62% win probability. The margin models project DET by 1.6. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Minnesota Vikings and Detroit Lions play?
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Minnesota Vikings vs Detroit Lions game?
Minnesota Vikings, 10-23 in Week 17 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Minnesota Vikings or the Detroit Lions?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Detroit Lions: MIN -0.016 against DET +0.091.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
