Vikings vs Lions – Week 8 2026
MIN
DET
MIN
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
Ford Field · Detroit, MI
DET
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Vikings over the Lions at 60% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: MIN 60%Our line: MIN -3.3
80% range around our line: DET by 14 to MIN by 21. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the MIN game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
MIN —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
MIN -3.3
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
MIN · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
60%
MIN · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
34%
DIFFERENCE
+26%
| SPORTSBOOK | MIN | DET | MIN WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +180 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 8 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
+0.111Net EPA / play+0.029
-0.099 (28)Offense EPA / play+0.180 (3)
-0.210 (1)Defense EPA / play+0.152 (31)
35.9% (32)Offense success %49.1% (4)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
MIN is our early forecast in MIN @ DET (Week 8, 2026). The model assigns 60% confidence and projects MIN by 3.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Minnesota VikingsPASSING
K.Murray662 yd · 2 TD · 2 INT
RECEIVING
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET@MINW17 2025 | DET 10, MIN 23 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW9 2025 | MIN 27, DET 24 | DET | L |
| MIN@DETW18 2024 | MIN 9, DET 31 | DET | W |
| DET@MINW7 2024 | DET 31, MIN 29 | DET | W |
| MIN@DETW18 2023 | MIN 20, DET 30 | DET | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSMIN vs DET
Our model takes Minnesota Vikings at 60% win probability. The margin models project MIN by 3.3. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors Minnesota Vikings at 60% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Minnesota Vikings, DET 10, MIN 23 in Week 17 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, Minnesota Vikings: MIN +0.111 against DET +0.029.
