IND @ JAX – Week 8 2026
IND
JAX
IND
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
JAX
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: JAX 77%Projected margin: -8.9
JAX
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-8.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.068Net EPA / play+0.136
+0.072Offense EPA / play+0.030
+0.004Defense EPA / play-0.105
46.3%Offense success %44.4%
45.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors JAX at 77%.
H2H EDGE
JAX has won 4 of the last 5 meetings against IND.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 8.9-point margin.
Net-positive signal profile for JAX. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | JAX market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
IND
J.Taylor
RB
362.3SEASON PPR
D.Jones
QB
226.4SEASON PPR
M.Pittman
WR
202.4SEASON PPR
JAX
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Indianapolis ColtsPASSING
D.Jones3101 yd · 19 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
J.Taylor1585 yd · 18 TD
D.Jones164 yd · 5 TD
D.Giddens96 yd · 0 TD
RECEIVING
A.Pierce47 rec · 1003 yd · 6 TD
T.Warren76 rec · 817 yd · 4 TD
M.Pittman80 rec · 784 yd · 7 TD
J.Downs58 rec · 566 yd · 4 TD
VS
3,101PASSyds4,007
1,845RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX@INDW18 2026 | — | JAX | — |
| JAX@INDW17 2025 | JAX 23, IND 17 | JAX | W |
| IND@JAXW14 2025 | IND 19, JAX 36 | JAX | W |
| JAX@INDW18 2024 | JAX 23, IND 26 | IND | W |
| IND@JAXW5 2024 | IND 34, JAX 37 | IND | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSIND vs JAX
Who is favored in Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars?
Our model takes Jacksonville Jaguars at 77% win probability. The margin models project JAX by 8.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars play?
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars game?
Jacksonville Jaguars, 23-17 in Week 17 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Indianapolis Colts or the Jacksonville Jaguars?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Jacksonville Jaguars: IND +0.068 against JAX +0.136.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
