LAC @ LA – Week 8 2026
LAC
LA
LAC
AWAY
@
SUN 4:05 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
LA
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: LA 70%Projected margin: -5.2
LA
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-5.2
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.059Net EPA / play+0.206
-0.024Offense EPA / play+0.145
-0.083Defense EPA / play-0.061
43.1%Offense success %51.8%
41.4%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: LA at 70%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
LA generates 0.145 EPA/play on offense. LAC's defense allows -0.083. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
LA goes for it on 4th down 29% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
DRIVE EFF
LA scores 2.5 points per drive vs 1.5 for LAC. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Net-positive signal profile for LA. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | LA market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
286.9SEASON PPR
K.Allen
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
180.9SEASON PPR
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Los Angeles ChargersPASSING
J.Herbert3727 yd · 26 TD · 13 INT
RUSHING
K.Vidal643 yd · 3 TD
O.Hampton545 yd · 4 TD
J.Herbert498 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
L.McConkey66 rec · 789 yd · 6 TD
K.Allen81 rec · 777 yd · 4 TD
Q.Johnston51 rec · 735 yd · 8 TD
O.Gadsden49 rec · 664 yd · 3 TD
VS
3,727PASSyds4,707
1,686RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@LACW17 2022 | LA 10, LAC 31 | LAC | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSLAC vs LA
Who is favored in Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams?
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 70% win probability. The margin models project LA by 5.2. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Los Angeles Chargers and Los Angeles Rams play?
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Who won the last Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams game?
Los Angeles Chargers, 10-31 in Week 17 of 2022.
Which team has been better, the Los Angeles Chargers or the Los Angeles Rams?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: LAC +0.059 against LA +0.206.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
