Raiders vs Jets – Week 8 2026
LV
NYJ
LV
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYJ
HOME
OUR PICK
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our model favors the Jets over the Raiders at 58% win probability. No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Model confidence: NYJ 58%Our line: NYJ -2.7
80% range around our line: LV by 15 to NYJ by 20. Four games in five land inside it.
Betting the NYJ game? Pro shows whether we flag it as a bet, at what price, and your stake at your unit size →
ODDS
SPREAD
NYJ —
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
NYJ -2.7
OUR LINE
MONEYLINE
NYJ · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
58%
NYJ · MARKET WIN PROBABILITY
53%
DIFFERENCE
+5%
| SPORTSBOOK | LV | NYJ | NYJ WIN % |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +105 | -125 |
PREGAME SNAPSHOTWEEK 8 · WHAT MATTERS AT KICKOFF
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES
-0.001Net EPA / play+0.037
+0.004 (14)Offense EPA / play-0.025 (20)
+0.005 (19)Defense EPA / play-0.062 (5)
42.6% (17)Offense success %42.8% (16)
PROJECTED MARGINHOW THE FINAL SCORE COULD LAND
WHY THIS PICK
NYJ is our early forecast in LV @ NYJ (Week 8, 2026). The model assigns 58% confidence and projects NYJ by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL AGREEMENT
The three models split on this game. The majority side is what we publish, and it carries less weight than a unanimous one.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@LVW10 2023 | NYJ 12, LV 16 | LV | W |
| LV@NYJW13 2020 | LV 31, NYJ 28 | LV | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 8 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLV vs NYJ
Our model takes New York Jets at 58% win probability. The margin models project NYJ by 2.7. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
Our model favors New York Jets at 58% win probability.
No betting line has been posted for this game yet.
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Las Vegas Raiders, NYJ 12, LV 16 in Week 10 of 2023.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Jets: LV -0.001 against NYJ +0.037.
