CAR @ GB – Week 8 2026
CAR
GB
CAR
AWAY
@
THU 8:15 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
GB
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: GB 64%Projected margin: -2.8
GB
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-2.8
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play+0.082
-0.039Offense EPA / play+0.115
+0.067Defense EPA / play+0.033
43.1%Offense success %47.7%
44.3%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: GB at 64%, backed by epa edge.
EPA EDGE
GB generates 0.115 EPA/play on offense. CAR's defense allows 0.067. That's a top-tier efficiency gap.
RED ZONE
GB converts 79% in the red zone vs 55% for CAR. That efficiency gap matters in close games.
DRIVE EFF
GB scores 2.0 points per drive vs 1.5 for CAR. That's a substantial offensive rhythm gap.
Multiple signals align in GB's favor. One of the cleaner setups on the slate.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | GB market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CAR
B.Young
QB
218.0SEASON PPR
R.Dowdle
RB
216.3SEASON PPR
T.McMillan
WR
213.4SEASON PPR
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Carolina PanthersPASSING
B.Young3011 yd · 23 TD · 11 INT
RUSHING
R.Dowdle1076 yd · 6 TD
C.Hubbard511 yd · 1 TD
B.Young216 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
T.McMillan70 rec · 1014 yd · 7 TD
J.Coker33 rec · 394 yd · 3 TD
X.Legette35 rec · 363 yd · 3 TD
R.Dowdle39 rec · 297 yd · 1 TD
VS
3,011PASSyds3,381
1,803RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAR@GBW9 2025 | CAR 16, GB 13 | GB | L |
| GB@CARW16 2023 | GB 33, CAR 30 | GB | W |
| CAR@GBW15 2020 | CAR 16, GB 24 | GB | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs GB
Who is favored in Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers?
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 64% win probability. The margin models project GB by 2.8. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Carolina Panthers and Green Bay Packers play?
Week 8 of the 2026 season, THU 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Carolina Panthers vs Green Bay Packers game?
Carolina Panthers, 16-13 in Week 9 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Carolina Panthers or the Green Bay Packers?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Green Bay Packers: CAR -0.107 against GB +0.082.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
