ARI @ DAL – Week 8 2026
ARI
DAL
ARI
AWAY
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 8 · 2026 SEASON
DAL
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: DAL 73%Projected margin: -7.0
DAL
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-7.0
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.107Net EPA / play-0.070
-0.018Offense EPA / play+0.097
+0.088Defense EPA / play+0.167
43.0%Offense success %46.6%
48.5%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
GAME NARRATIVE
Early forecast: model favors DAL at 73%.
AGGRESSIVE 4TH
DAL goes for it on 4th down 30% of the time -- among the most aggressive in the NFL.
BLOWOUT PROJ
Model projects a 7.0-point margin.
Net-positive signal profile for DAL. This forecast updates every Wednesday as the season plays out.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | DAL market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ARI
T.McBride
TE
315.9SEASON PPR
J.Brissett
QB
227.4SEASON PPR
Mi.Wilson
WR
220.6SEASON PPR
DAL
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Arizona CardinalsPASSING
J.Brissett3366 yd · 23 TD · 8 INT
RUSHING
M.Carter333 yd · 1 TD
E.Demercado312 yd · 0 TD
Z.Knight269 yd · 4 TD
RECEIVING
T.McBride126 rec · 1239 yd · 11 TD
Mi.Wilson78 rec · 1006 yd · 7 TD
M.Harrison41 rec · 608 yd · 4 TD
E.Higgins30 rec · 301 yd · 0 TD
VS
3,366PASSyds4,552
914RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARI@DALW9 2025 | ARI 27, DAL 17 | DAL | L |
| DAL@ARIW3 2023 | DAL 16, ARI 28 | DAL | L |
| ARI@DALW17 2021 | ARI 25, DAL 22 | DAL | L |
| ARI@DALW6 2020 | ARI 38, DAL 10 | DAL | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSARI vs DAL
Who is favored in Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys?
Our model takes Dallas Cowboys at 73% win probability. The margin models project DAL by 7.0. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Arizona Cardinals and Dallas Cowboys play?
Week 8 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Arizona Cardinals vs Dallas Cowboys game?
Arizona Cardinals, 27-17 in Week 9 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Arizona Cardinals or the Dallas Cowboys?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Dallas Cowboys: ARI -0.107 against DAL -0.070.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
