ARI @ DAL – Week 9 2025

DAL C-tier pick misses. ARI takes it.

Model picked DAL but ARI won. Projected margin was 2.3 -- the model overestimated by 12.3 points.

Missed the spread by 13.5 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.