2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LAC @ TEN – Week 9 2025
LAC
TEN
LAC
AWAY
27@20
LAC +7
FINAL · WEEK 9
2025 SEASON
TEN
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: LAC
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: LAC 77%Projected margin: -7.9
LAC
PICK SIDE
-10.0
SPREAD
-7.9
PROJ MARGIN
-422
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LAC A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected LAC by 7.9. Actual: 7 points. The model was within 0.9 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 3.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -10.0 | LAC market line | |
| MODEL ML | -422 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.24 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LAC
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)
TEN
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
46°F
WIND
5 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LAC
J.Herbert
QB
286.9SEASON PPR
K.Allen
WR
182.7SEASON PPR
L.McConkey
WR
180.9SEASON PPR
TEN
C.Ward
QB
186.7SEASON PPR
T.Pollard
RB
185.8SEASON PPR
C.Dike
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| TEN@LACW10 2024 | TEN 17, LAC 27 | LAC | W |
| LAC@TENW2 2023 | LAC 24, TEN 27 | LAC | L |
| TEN@LACW15 2022 | TEN 14, LAC 17 | LAC | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES