2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ NE – Week 9 2025
ATL
NE
ATL
AWAY
23@24
NE +1
FINAL · WEEK 9
2025 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: NE 65%Projected margin: 4.0
NE
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
4.0
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NE by 4.0. Actual: 1 points. The model was within 3.0 points of the real margin.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | NE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
NE
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
52°F
WIND
7 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
370.8SEASON PPR
K.Pitts
TE
210.8SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
201.9SEASON PPR
NE
D.Maye
QB
352.0SEASON PPR
S.Diggs
WR
210.3SEASON PPR
T.Henderson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 9
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NE@ATLW11 2021 | NE 25, ATL 0 | NE | W |
WEEK 9 · OTHER GAMES