2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ ATL – Week 11 2021
NE
ATL
NE
AWAY
25@0
NE +25
FINAL · WEEK 11
2021 SEASON
ATL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NE 64%Projected margin: -5.9
NE
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
-5.9
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NE. Projected margin: 5.9. Actual: 25. Off by 19.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 18.0 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | NE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -329 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
No noteworthy trends
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
NE
Mac Jones
QB
224.9SEASON PPR
Damien Harris
RB
210.1SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
186.3SEASON PPR
ATL
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB
234.6SEASON PPR
Matt Ryan
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Kyle Pitts
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 11
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@NEW9 2025 | ATL 23, NE 24 | NE | W |
WEEK 11 · OTHER GAMES