NFL WEEK 11 2021 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
15 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 8-7 straight up in Week 11 2021.
The most confident pick, the Tennessee Titans at 76%, lost 13-22.
Our most confident Week 11 pick is the Tennessee Titans over the Houston Texans, at 76% win probability.
3 of 15 games on the Week 11 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Tennessee Titans at 76% win probability lost 13-22.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-6 (45%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 11 2021 pick is the Tennessee Titans over the Houston Texans, at 76% win probability.
3 of 15 games in Week 11 2021 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 11, 2021, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 8-7 straight up in Week 11 2021.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Tennessee Titans at 76% win probability lost 13-22. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 5-6 (45%) against a 66% all-time rate.