NFL WEEK 10 2021 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
14 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 7-6-1 straight up in Week 10 2021.
The most confident pick, the Pittsburgh Steelers at 74%, tied 16-16.
Our most confident Week 10 pick is the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Detroit Lions, at 74% win probability.
4 of 14 games on the Week 10 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 68% win probability lost 19-29.
The A+-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 76% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 10 2021 pick is the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Detroit Lions, at 74% win probability.
4 of 14 games in Week 10 2021 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 10, 2021, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 7-6-1 straight up in Week 10 2021.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at 68% win probability lost 19-29. The A+-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 76% all-time rate.