Seahawks vs Packers – Week 10 2021
SEA
GB
SEA
AWAY
0@17
GB BY 17
FINAL · WEEK 10
2021 SEASON
Lambeau Field · Green Bay, WI
GB
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Seattle Seahawks 0, Green Bay Packers 17.
Going in, our model had favored Green Bay Packers at 65% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Seahawks, 3 Packers.
Model confidence: GB 65%Our line: GB -5.0
ODDS
SPREAD
GB -3.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
GB -5.0
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
GB · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
65%
TEAM COMPARISON2021 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 10
+0.003Net EPA / play+0.127
+0.031 (14)Offense EPA / play+0.134 (3)
+0.028 (22)Defense EPA / play+0.006 (16)
43.2% (21)Offense success %48.6% (3)
GAME NARRATIVE
GB A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 5.0. Actual: 17. Off by 12.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 14.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
SEA
No noteworthy trends
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
35°F
WIND
11 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
GB
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2021 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Seattle SeahawksPASSING
Russell Wilson3113 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
Rashaad Penny749 yd · 6 TD
Alex Collins411 yd · 2 TD
Chris Carson232 yd · 3 TD
RECEIVING
Tyler Lockett73 rec · 1175 yd · 8 TD
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@SEAW15 2024 | GB 30, SEA 13 | GB | W |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSSEA vs GB
Our model takes Green Bay Packers at 65% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project GB by 5.0. The market has GB at -3.0.
Green Bay Packers won, SEA 0, GB 17. Our model had favored Green Bay Packers at 65% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Green Bay Packers at -3.0, meaning the book expects Green Bay Packers to win by 3.0 points.
In Week 10, the Seattle Seahawks were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Green Bay Packers were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 49.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 43.8, 5.7 below the market.
Week 10 of the 2021 season, SUN 4:25 PM.
Green Bay Packers, GB 30, SEA 13 in Week 15 of 2024.
By net EPA per play over the 2021 season, Green Bay Packers: SEA +0.003 against GB +0.127.
