2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ DAL – Week 10 2021
ATL
DAL
ATL
AWAY
3@43
DAL +40
FINAL · WEEK 10
2021 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER B
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 61%Projected margin: 3.9
DAL
PICK SIDE
-8.0
SPREAD
3.9
PROJ MARGIN
-316
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 3.9. Actual: 40. Off by 36.1 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 32.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -8.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -316 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -392 | Won · +$0.32 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
DAL
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Road Favorite 5-0 ATS (100%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
ATL
Cordarrelle Patterson
RB
234.6SEASON PPR
Matt Ryan
QB
222.9SEASON PPR
Kyle Pitts
TE
176.6SEASON PPR
DAL
Dak Prescott
QB
320.6SEASON PPR
Ezekiel Elliott
RB
252.1SEASON PPR
CeeDee Lamb
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@ATLW9 2024 | DAL 21, ATL 27 | ATL | W |
| ATL@DALW2 2020 | ATL 39, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES