2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ NE – Week 10 2021
CLE
NE
CLE
AWAY
7@45
NE +38
FINAL · WEEK 10
2021 SEASON
NE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NE 52%Projected margin: 0.4
NE
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
0.4
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NE. Projected margin: 0.4. Actual: 38. Off by 37.6 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 2 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 35.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | NE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -132 | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
NE
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
48°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
215.3SEASON PPR
Baker Mayfield
QB
180.9SEASON PPR
Jarvis Landry
WR
133.0SEASON PPR
NE
Mac Jones
QB
224.9SEASON PPR
Damien Harris
RB
210.1SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 10
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NEW8 2025 | CLE 13, NE 32 | NE | W |
| NE@CLEW6 2022 | NE 38, CLE 15 | NE | W |
WEEK 10 · OTHER GAMES