2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NE @ CLE – Week 6 2022
NE
CLE
NE
AWAY
38@15
NE +23
FINAL · WEEK 6
2022 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER B
PICK: NE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: NE 61%Projected margin: -1.9
NE
PICK SIDE
+2.5
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
+143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
NE B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked NE. Projected margin: 1.9. Actual: 23. Off by 21.1 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 25.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +2.5 | NE market line | |
| MODEL ML | +143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +127 | Won · +$1.43 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NE
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
CLE
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NE
Rhamondre Stevenson
RB
249.1SEASON PPR
Jakobi Meyers
WR
182.3SEASON PPR
Mac Jones
QB
170.1SEASON PPR
CLE
Nick Chubb
RB
281.4SEASON PPR
Amari Cooper
WR
246.0SEASON PPR
Jacoby Brissett
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NEW8 2025 | CLE 13, NE 32 | NE | W |
| CLE@NEW10 2021 | CLE 7, NE 45 | NE | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES