2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
WAS @ CHI – Week 6 2022
WAS
CHI
WAS
AWAY
12@7
WAS +5
FINAL · WEEK 6
2022 SEASON
CHI
HOME
TIER C
PICK: CHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: CHI 57%Projected margin: 0.5
CHI
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
0.5
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CHI C-tier pick misses. WAS takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CHI but WAS won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 5.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | CHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -120 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
CHI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
165.9SEASON PPR
CHI
Justin Fields
QB
296.0SEASON PPR
David Montgomery
RB
177.7SEASON PPR
Cole Kmet
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@WASW6 2025 | CHI 25, WAS 24 | WAS | L |
| CHI@WASW8 2024 | CHI 15, WAS 18 | WAS | W |
| CHI@WASW5 2023 | CHI 40, WAS 20 | WAS | L |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES