2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ WAS – Week 6 2025
CHI
WAS
CHI
AWAY
25@24
CHI +1
FINAL · WEEK 6
2025 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER B
PICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 70%Projected margin: 5.9
WAS
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
5.9
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS B-tier pick misses. CHI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but CHI won. Projected margin was 5.9 -- the model overestimated by 6.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 6.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WAS
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
59°F
WIND
12 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CHI
C.Williams
QB
318.2SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
228.6SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
172.2SEASON PPR
WAS
D.Samuel
WR
188.2SEASON PPR
J.Croskey-Merritt
RB
140.3SEASON PPR
Z.Ertz
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@WASW8 2024 | CHI 15, WAS 18 | WAS | W |
| CHI@WASW5 2023 | CHI 40, WAS 20 | WAS | L |
| WAS@CHIW6 2022 | WAS 12, CHI 7 | CHI | L |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES