2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CLE @ PIT – Week 6 2025
CLE
PIT
CLE
AWAY
9@23
PIT +14
FINAL · WEEK 6
2025 SEASON
PIT
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: PIT
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: PIT 76%Projected margin: 8.4
PIT
PICK SIDE
-5.5
SPREAD
8.4
PROJ MARGIN
-221
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PIT A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked PIT. Projected margin: 8.4. Actual: 14. Off by 5.6 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -5.5 | PIT market line | |
| MODEL ML | -221 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.45 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CLE
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
PIT
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
64°F
WIND
8 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CLE
H.Fannin
TE
186.4SEASON PPR
Q.Judkins
RB
169.8SEASON PPR
J.Jeudy
WR
120.7SEASON PPR
PIT
A.Rodgers
QB
227.1SEASON PPR
K.Gainwell
RB
221.3SEASON PPR
J.Warren
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PIT@CLEW17 2025 | PIT 6, CLE 13 | PIT | L |
| CLE@PITW14 2024 | CLE 14, PIT 27 | PIT | W |
| PIT@CLEW12 2024 | PIT 19, CLE 24 | PIT | L |
| PIT@CLEW11 2023 | PIT 10, CLE 13 | PIT | L |
| CLE@PITW2 2023 | CLE 22, PIT 26 | PIT | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES