2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CIN @ GB – Week 6 2025
CIN
GB
CIN
AWAY
18@27
GB +9
FINAL · WEEK 6
2025 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 70%Projected margin: 5.5
GB
PICK SIDE
-14.0
SPREAD
5.5
PROJ MARGIN
-750
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 5.5. Actual: 9. Off by 3.5 points but directionally right.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 5.0 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -14.0 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -750 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.13 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GB
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)Road Favorite 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
64°F
WIND
14 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CIN
J.Chase
WR
313.6SEASON PPR
C.Brown
RB
282.6SEASON PPR
T.Higgins
WR
211.6SEASON PPR
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
237.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
235.1SEASON PPR
R.Doubs
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@CINW5 2021 | GB 25, CIN 22 | GB | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES