2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
LA @ BAL – Week 6 2025
LA
BAL
LA
AWAY
17@3
LA +14
FINAL · WEEK 6
2025 SEASON
BAL
HOME
TIER C
PICK: LA
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: LA 64%Projected margin: -1.6
LA
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
-1.6
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
LA C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 1.6. Actual: 14. Off by 12.4 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 7.0 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | LA market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
LA
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
BAL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
64°F
WIND
15 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
LA
P.Nacua
WR
375.0SEASON PPR
M.Stafford
QB
350.4SEASON PPR
K.Williams
RB
263.3SEASON PPR
BAL
D.Henry
RB
279.5SEASON PPR
Z.Flowers
WR
243.3SEASON PPR
L.Jackson
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@BALW14 2023 | LA 31, BAL 37 | BAL | W |
| LA@BALW17 2021 | LA 20, BAL 19 | LA | W |
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES