2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ GB – Week 6 2022
NYJ
GB
NYJ
AWAY
27@10
NYJ +17
FINAL · WEEK 6
2022 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER B
PICK: GB
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: GB 71%Projected margin: 6.5
GB
PICK SIDE
-7.5
SPREAD
6.5
PROJ MARGIN
-294
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB B-tier pick misses. NYJ takes it.
MISSED
Model picked GB but NYJ won. Projected margin was 6.5 -- the model overestimated by 23.5 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 9 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 24.5 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -294 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -362 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
GB
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYJ
Garrett Wilson
WR
215.7SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
131.5SEASON PPR
Michael Carter
RB
126.0SEASON PPR
GB
Aaron Jones
RB
248.6SEASON PPR
Aaron Rodgers
QB
239.2SEASON PPR
Allen Lazard
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES