Panthers vs Rams – Week 6 2022
CAR
LA
CAR
AWAY
10@24
LA BY 14
FINAL · WEEK 6
2022 SEASON
SoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
LA
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Carolina Panthers 10, Los Angeles Rams 24.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 71% win probability, and the pick won.
Out or doubtful: 3 Panthers, 2 Rams.
Model confidence: LA 71%Our line: LA -7.7
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -10.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -7.7
OUR LINE
COVERED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
71%
TEAM COMPARISON2022 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 6
-0.037Net EPA / play-0.105
-0.035 (20)Offense EPA / play-0.088 (29)
+0.003 (16)Defense EPA / play+0.017 (24)
40.7% (25)Offense success %41.0% (23)
GAME NARRATIVE
LA A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked LA. Projected margin: 7.7. Actual: 14. Off by 6.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
CAR
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Home Underdog 5-1 ATS (83%)
LA
Home Underdog 3-2 ATS (60%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
LA
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2022 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 6
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| LA@CARW13 2025 | LA 28, CAR 31 | LA | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 6 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSCAR vs LA
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 71% win probability, a Tier A+ pick. The margin models project LA by 7.7. The market has LA at -10.0.
Los Angeles Rams won, CAR 10, LA 24. Our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 71% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -10.0, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 10.0 points.
In Week 6, the Carolina Panthers were without 3 players (Out or Doubtful) and the Los Angeles Rams were without 2 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 41.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 46.1, 4.6 above the market.
Week 6 of the 2022 season, SUN 4:05 PM.
Carolina Panthers, LA 28, CAR 31 in Week 13 of 2025.
By net EPA per play over the 2022 season, Carolina Panthers: CAR -0.037 against LA -0.105.
