Rams vs Panthers – Week 13 2025
LA
CAR
LA
AWAY
28@31
CAR BY 3
FINAL · WEEK 13
2025 SEASON
Bank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC
CAR
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Los Angeles Rams 28, Carolina Panthers 31.
Going in, our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 75% win probability, and the pick lost.
Out or doubtful: 5 Panthers.
Model confidence: LA 75%Our line: LA -9.1
ODDS
SPREAD
LA -10.0
MARKET SPREAD · MARKET AVG
LA -9.1
OUR LINE
MISSED
VS SPREAD
MONEYLINE
LA · OUR WIN PROBABILITY
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 13
+0.206Net EPA / play-0.107
+0.145 (2)Offense EPA / play-0.039 (26)
-0.061 (9)Defense EPA / play+0.067 (23)
51.8% (1)Offense success %43.1% (21)
GAME NARRATIVE
LA A-tier pick misses. CAR takes it.
MISSED
Model picked LA but CAR won. Projected margin was 9.1, the model overestimated by 12.1 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 10 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 13.0 points.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
Historical splits, shown for context only. We tested them: picking the situations that beat break-even in training goes 770–760 (50.3%) out of sample, so they are not a betting signal and are not coloured like one.
LA
Road Favorite 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
CAR
Home Underdog 5-2 ATS (71%)Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
45°F
WIND
3 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSLA vs CAR
Our model takes Los Angeles Rams at 75% win probability, a Tier A pick. The margin models project LA by 9.1. The market has LA at -10.0.
Carolina Panthers won, LA 28, CAR 31. Our model had favored Los Angeles Rams at 75% win probability, and the pick lost.
The market has Los Angeles Rams at -10.0, meaning the book expects Los Angeles Rams to win by 10.0 points.
In Week 13, the Carolina Panthers were without 5 players (Out or Doubtful).
Sportsbooks have this game at 44.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 45.3, 0.8 above the market.
Week 13 of the 2025 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Los Angeles Rams, CAR 10, LA 24 in Week 6 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Los Angeles Rams: LA +0.206 against CAR -0.107.
