2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CHI @ PHI – Week 13 2025
CHI
PHI
CHI
AWAY
24@15
CHI +9
FINAL · WEEK 13
2025 SEASON
PHI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: PHI
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: PHI 66%Projected margin: 3.9
PHI
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
3.9
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
PHI B-tier pick misses. CHI takes it.
MISSED
Model picked PHI but CHI won. Projected margin was 3.9 -- the model overestimated by 12.9 points.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 16.0 points.
HIGH WIND
18 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | PHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
PHI
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
42°F
WIND
18 MPH
WINDY
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CHI
C.Williams
QB
318.2SEASON PPR
D.Swift
RB
228.6SEASON PPR
D.Moore
WR
172.2SEASON PPR
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 13
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHI@CHIW15 2022 | PHI 25, CHI 20 | PHI | W |
WEEK 13 · OTHER GAMES