PHI @ CHI – Week 3 2026
PHI
CHI
PHI
AWAY
@
MON 8:15 PM
WEEK 3 · 2026 SEASON
CHI
HOME
OUR PICK
Model confidence: CHI 60%Projected margin: -1.2
CHI
PICK SIDE
-1.5
SPREAD
-1.2
PROJ MARGIN
-124
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
+0.105Net EPA / play+0.061
+0.026Offense EPA / play+0.080
-0.079Defense EPA / play+0.018
43.1%Offense success %45.8%
41.7%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CHI is our B-tier play in PHI @ CHI (Week 3, 2026). The model assigns 60.0% confidence and projects CHI by 1.2. Market spread sits at CHI -1.5.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -1.5 | CHI market line | |
| MODEL ML | -124 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML |
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
PHI
J.Hurts
QB
301.1SEASON PPR
S.Barkley
RB
232.3SEASON PPR
A.Brown
WR
220.3SEASON PPR
CHI
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Philadelphia EaglesPASSING
J.Hurts3224 yd · 25 TD · 6 INT
RUSHING
S.Barkley1140 yd · 7 TD
J.Hurts421 yd · 8 TD
T.Bigsby344 yd · 2 TD
RECEIVING
D.Smith77 rec · 1008 yd · 4 TD
A.Brown78 rec · 1003 yd · 7 TD
D.Goedert60 rec · 591 yd · 11 TD
S.Barkley37 rec · 273 yd · 2 TD
VS
3,224PASSyds3,942
1,905RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHI@PHIW13 2025 | CHI 24, PHI 15 | PHI | L |
| PHI@CHIW15 2022 | PHI 25, CHI 20 | PHI | W |
COMMON QUESTIONSPHI vs CHI
Who is favored in Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears?
Our model takes Chicago Bears at 60% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project CHI by 1.2. The market has CHI at -1.5.
When do the Philadelphia Eagles and Chicago Bears play?
Week 3 of the 2026 season, MON 8:15 PM.
Who won the last Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears game?
Chicago Bears, 24-15 in Week 13 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Philadelphia Eagles or the Chicago Bears?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Philadelphia Eagles: PHI +0.105 against CHI +0.061.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
