Titans vs Giants – Week 3 2026
TEN
NYG
TEN
AWAY
7@12
NYG BY 5
FINAL · WEEK 3
2026 SEASON
MetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
NYG
HOME
THE SHORT ANSWER
Final: Tennessee Titans 7, New York Giants 12.
Going in, our model had favored New York Giants at 67% win probability, and the pick won.
Model confidence: NYG 67%Our line: NYG -6.0
ODDS
SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON2026 SEASON · EFFICIENCY, SCORING, TENDENCIES · RANK IN PARENTHESES · FULL-SEASON NUMBERS, NOT AS OF WEEK 3
-0.228Net EPA / play-0.054
-0.149 (31)Offense EPA / play-0.019 (17)
+0.078 (25)Defense EPA / play+0.036 (22)
40.5% (25)Offense success %42.1% (20)
GAME NARRATIVE
NYG B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected NYG by 6.0. Actual: 5 points. The model was within 1.0 points of the real margin.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 2.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
62°F
WIND
10 MPH
IN-GAME WIN PROBABILITY
CLOSING LINE VALUE
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2026 SEASON
NYG
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2026 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETING
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYG@TENW1 2022 | NYG 21, TEN 20 | TEN | L |
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake, plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES
Our pick and its win probability, or the final score once the game is played.
COMMON QUESTIONSTEN vs NYG
Our model takes New York Giants at 67% win probability, a Tier B pick. The margin models project NYG by 6.0. The market has NYG at -2.5.
New York Giants won, TEN 7, NYG 12. Our model had favored New York Giants at 67% win probability, and the pick won.
The market has New York Giants at -2.5, meaning the book expects New York Giants to win by 2.5 points.
Sportsbooks have this game at 38.5 combined points. NoPunt's model projects 43.6, 5.1 above the market, which our board calls an over.
Week 3 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
New York Giants, NYG 21, TEN 20 in Week 1 of 2022.
By net EPA per play over the 2026 season, New York Giants: TEN -0.228 against NYG -0.054.
