NFL WEEK 3 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED NOV 3, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 10-6 straight up in Week 3 2026.
The most confident pick, the San Francisco 49ers at 81%, won 36-30.
Our most confident Week 3 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
2 of 16 games on the Week 3 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Seattle Seahawks at 76% win probability lost 31-33.
The midweek injury re-pick of Falcons at Packers to the Falcons won 35-14.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 3-3 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 3 2026 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
2 of 16 games in Week 3 2026 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 3, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 10-6 straight up in Week 3 2026.
For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 3 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Seattle Seahawks at 76% win probability lost 31-33. The midweek injury re-pick of Falcons at Packers to the Falcons won 35-14. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 3-3 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.