NFL WEEK 3 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED SEP 24, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our most confident Week 3 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
3 of 16 games on the Week 3 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
The biggest injury-driven change this week: Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers moved to the Atlanta Falcons at 50% after a midweek injury update.
For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 3 2026 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.
3 of 16 games in Week 3 2026 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 3, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 3 pick is the San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, at 81% win probability.