NFL WEEK 4 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED NOV 3, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 4 2026.
The most confident pick, the Seattle Seahawks at 80%, won 30-23.
Our most confident Week 4 pick is the Seattle Seahawks over the Los Angeles Chargers, at 80% win probability.
1 of 16 games on the Week 4 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the Seattle Seahawks over the Los Angeles Chargers, at 80% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Buffalo Bills at 70% win probability lost 26-29.
The midweek injury re-pick of Falcons at Saints to the Falcons won 45-24.
The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 3-4 (43%) against a 66% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 4 2026 pick is the Seattle Seahawks over the Los Angeles Chargers, at 80% win probability.
1 of 16 games in Week 4 2026 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 4, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 4 2026.
For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 4 pick is the Seattle Seahawks over the Los Angeles Chargers, at 80% win probability.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Buffalo Bills at 70% win probability lost 26-29. The midweek injury re-pick of Falcons at Saints to the Falcons won 45-24. The B-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 3-4 (43%) against a 66% all-time rate.