NFL WEEK 5 2026 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
15 GAMESUPDATED SEP 24, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
Our most confident Week 5 pick is the New England Patriots over the Las Vegas Raiders, at 78% win probability.
1 of 15 games on the Week 5 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
For survivor pools, the safest pick of the week is the New England Patriots over the Las Vegas Raiders, at 78% win probability.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
EARLY FORECAST · no betting lines are posted for this week yet. These are model projections, not graded picks, and they regenerate every Wednesday.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 5 2026 pick is the New England Patriots over the Las Vegas Raiders, at 78% win probability.
1 of 15 games in Week 5 2026 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 5, 2026, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
For survivor pools, our model's safest Week 5 pick is the New England Patriots over the Las Vegas Raiders, at 78% win probability.