CLE @ NYJ – Week 5 2026
CLE
NYJ
CLE
AWAY
OUR PICK
@
SUN 1:00 PM
WEEK 5 · 2026 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
Model confidence: CLE 63%Projected margin: -1.9
CLE
PICK SIDE
—
SPREAD
-1.9
PROJ MARGIN
—
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
TEAM COMPARISON2025 SEASON
EFFICIENCY SPLIT2025 SEASON · SIDE BY SIDE
-0.094Net EPA / play-0.274
-0.190Offense EPA / play-0.127
-0.096Defense EPA / play+0.147
34.5%Offense success %40.7%
40.2%Defense success %
PROJECTED MARGINEVERY OUTCOME THE MODEL CONSIDERS LIKELY
WHY THIS PICK
CLE is our early forecast in CLE @ NYJ (Week 5, 2026). The model assigns 63.2% confidence and projects CLE by 1.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so the model re-runs this forecast every Wednesday as the season plays out.
MODEL CONVICTION
High. The model is fully behind this side.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | — | CLE market line | |
| MONEYLINE | Moneyline not recorded for this game | ||
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
CLE
H.Fannin
TE
186.4SEASON PPR
Q.Judkins
RB
169.8SEASON PPR
J.Jeudy
WR
120.7SEASON PPR
NYJ
DEEP MATCHUP DATA2025 PRODUCTION BY UNIT
Cleveland BrownsPASSING
S.Sanders1400 yd · 7 TD · 10 INT
RUSHING
Q.Judkins827 yd · 7 TD
D.Sampson175 yd · 0 TD
S.Sanders169 yd · 1 TD
RECEIVING
H.Fannin72 rec · 731 yd · 6 TD
J.Jeudy50 rec · 602 yd · 2 TD
I.Bond18 rec · 338 yd · 0 TD
D.Njoku33 rec · 293 yd · 4 TD
VS
1,400PASSyds1,259
1,171RUSHyds
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 4 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NYJW10 2025 | CLE 20, NYJ 27 | NYJ | W |
| NYJ@CLEW17 2023 | NYJ 20, CLE 37 | CLE | W |
| NYJ@CLEW2 2022 | NYJ 31, CLE 30 | CLE | L |
| CLE@NYJW16 2020 | CLE 16, NYJ 23 | CLE | L |
COMMON QUESTIONSCLE vs NYJ
Who is favored in Cleveland Browns at New York Jets?
Our model takes Cleveland Browns at 63% win probability. The margin models project CLE by 1.9. No betting line has been posted for this game yet, so this is an early forecast that regenerates every Wednesday.
When do the Cleveland Browns and New York Jets play?
Week 5 of the 2026 season, SUN 1:00 PM.
Who won the last Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets game?
New York Jets, 20-27 in Week 10 of 2025.
Which team has been better, the Cleveland Browns or the New York Jets?
By net EPA per play over the 2025 season, Cleveland Browns: CLE -0.094 against NYJ -0.274.
WHAT PRO ADDS
Every stat on this page is free, and so is the model's pick for this game. Pro is the separate question of which games we would actually bet, and at what stake — plus player props, unit sizing, and the full profit-and-loss ledger.
See the Edge
