2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYJ @ CLE – Week 17 2023
NYJ
CLE
NYJ
AWAY
20@37
CLE +17
FINAL · WEEK 17
2023 SEASON
CLE
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: CLE
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CLE 77%Projected margin: 8.1
CLE
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
8.1
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CLE A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CLE. Projected margin: 8.1. Actual: 17. Off by 8.9 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 10.5 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | CLE market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -345 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYJ
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
CLE
No noteworthy trends
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
47°F
WIND
6 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2023 SEASON
NYJ
Breece Hall
RB
290.5SEASON PPR
Garrett Wilson
WR
213.2SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
123.1SEASON PPR
CLE
Amari Cooper
WR
227.0SEASON PPR
Jerome Ford
RB
211.2SEASON PPR
David Njoku
TE
INJURY REPORTWEEK 17
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE@NYJW10 2025 | CLE 20, NYJ 27 | NYJ | W |
| NYJ@CLEW2 2022 | NYJ 31, CLE 30 | CLE | L |
| CLE@NYJW16 2020 | CLE 16, NYJ 23 | CLE | L |
WEEK 17 · OTHER GAMES