NFL WEEK 17 2023 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 17 2023.
The most confident pick, the Buffalo Bills at 80%, won 27-21.
Our most confident Week 17 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the New England Patriots, at 80% win probability.
1 of 16 games on the Week 17 slate is effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
Before kickoff
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WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Philadelphia Eagles at 79% win probability lost 31-35.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 17 2023 pick is the Buffalo Bills over the New England Patriots, at 80% win probability.
1 of 16 games in Week 17 2023 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 17, 2023, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 17 2023.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Philadelphia Eagles at 79% win probability lost 31-35. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-2 (50%) against a 58% all-time rate.