DET @ DAL – Week 17 2023

DET C-tier pick misses. DAL takes it.

Model picked DET but DAL won. Projected margin was 0.5 -- the model overestimated by 0.5 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.