2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DET @ DAL – Week 7 2022
DET
DAL
DET
AWAY
6@24
DAL +18
FINAL · WEEK 7
2022 SEASON
DAL
HOME
TIER A+
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 72%Projected margin: 8.8
DAL
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
8.8
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A+-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DAL. Projected margin: 8.8. Actual: 18. Off by 9.2 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 6 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A+-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -278 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DET
Divisional 6-0 ATS (100%)Home Underdog 4-1 ATS (80%)
DAL
Road Favorite 1-3 ATS (25%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DET
Jared Goff
QB
284.3SEASON PPR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
WR
267.6SEASON PPR
Jamaal Williams
RB
225.9SEASON PPR
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
301.6SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
248.8SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 7
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 3 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@DETW14 2025 | DAL 30, DET 44 | DET | W |
| DET@DALW6 2024 | DET 47, DAL 9 | DET | W |
| DET@DALW17 2023 | DET 19, DAL 20 | DET | L |
WEEK 7 · OTHER GAMES